Category | No. cases | Crude rate of ARF at initial hospitalization/100,000 population | aRR (95% CI) | RR in 2010–2018 vs. 2000–2009 (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age† | ||||
<5 | 35 | 0.62 | 0.18 (0.13–0.25) | 0.42 (0.20–0.88) |
5–9 | 768 | 13.45 | 4.10 (3.57–4.70) | 1.01 (0.88–1.17) |
10–14 | 1,184 | 20.55 | 6.58 (5.77–7.51) | 1.08 (0.96–1.21) |
15–19 | 308 | 5.27 | 1.81 (1.54–2.13) | 1.29 (1.03–1.62) |
20–29 | 276 | 2.27 | Referent | 1.86 (1.45–2.38) |
Sex‡ | ||||
M | 1,493 | 8.60 | 1.34 (1.24–1.45) | 1.09 (0.99–1.21) |
F | 1,078 | 6.42 | Referent | 1.18 (1.05–1.33) |
Ethnicity (prioritized)§ | ||||
Māori | 1257 | 16.77 | 11.84 (10.02–13.98) | 1.09 (0.98–1.22) |
Pacific Islander | 1124 | 38.12 | 23.57 (19.88–27.94) | 1.30 (1.16–1.47) |
Asian | 23 | 0.55 | 0.64 (0.41–0.99) | 0.41 (0.18–0.98) |
European and other | 167 | 0.86 | Referent | 0.61 (0.44–0.84) |
Socioeconomic deprivation level¶ | ||||
1–2 | 61 | 1.06 | Referent | 0.63 (0.38–1.05) |
3–4 | 128 | 2.16 | 1.65 (1.21–2.23) | 0.85 (0.60–1.20) |
5–6 | 160 | 2.51 | 1.60 (1.19–2.25) | 0.91 (0.67–1.24) |
7–8 | 405 | 5.57 | 2.58 (1.96–3.38) | 1.31 (1.08–1.59) |
9–10 | 1,817 | 20.58 | 5.21 (4.01–6.75) | 1.16 (1.06–1.27) |
District health board# | ||||
Northland | 206 | 17.36 | 7.56 (4.39–13.02) | 1.10 (0.84–1.45) |
Counties Manukau, South Auckland | 909 | 21.67 | 7.37 (4.32–12.53) | 1.23 (1.08–1.41) |
Tairawhiti, Gisborne | 63 | 16.01 | 5.47(3.06–9.80) | 1.45 (0.88–2.39) |
South Island, 5 DHBs | 67 | 0.91 | Referent | 1.21 (0.71–1.88) |
Total | 2,571 | 7.53 | 1.13 (1.04–1.22) |
Table 1. Acute rheumatic fever initial hospitalizations and adjusted rate ratios for patients <30 years of age, according to key sociodemographic characteristics, New Zealand, 2000–2018*
*An additional 181 (6.6% of total) cases occurred among persons ≥30 years of age during 2000–2018. aRR, adjusted rate ratio; DHB, district health board; RR, rate ratio.
†RR adjusted for sex, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation.
‡RR adjusted for age, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation.
§RR adjusted for age, sex, and socioeconomic deprivation.
¶RR adjusted for age, sex, and ethnicity.
#RR adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation; 3 DHBs highest incidence and 1 DHB with lowest incidence shown. A full list of DHBs is provided in Appendix Table 1).
Characteristics | No. cases | Crude rate of RHD at initial hospitalization/100,000 population | aRR (95% CI) | RR in 2010–2018 vs. 2000–2009 (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age, y† | ||||
0–9 | 154 | 1.35 | Referent | 1.53 (1.11–2.11) |
10–19 | 322 | 2.77 | 2.21 (1.82–2.68) | 1.51 (1.21–1.88) |
20–29 | 164 | 1.47 | 1.30 (1.04–1.62) | 0.95 (0.69–1.29) |
30–39 | 208 | 1.87 | 1.83 (1.49–2.26) | 0.81 (0.62–1.07) |
40–49 | 420 | 3.60 | 3.84 (3.19–4.62) | 1.07 (0.88–1.30) |
50–59 | 678 | 6.69 | 7.66 (6.43–9.14) | 0.93 (0.80–1.08) |
60–69 | 957 | 12.87 | 15.66 (13.18–18.61) | 1.13 (1.00–1.29) |
Sex‡ | ||||
M | 1,405 | 3.74 | 1.12 (1.04–1.21) | 1.14 (1.03–1.26) |
F | 1,498 | 4.06 | Referent | 1.04 (0.93–1.15) |
Ethnicity§ | ||||
Māori | 892 | 7.30 | 3.21 (2.93–3.52) | 1.24 (1.09–1.42) |
Pacific Islander | 574 | 11.60 | 4.62 (4.16–5.15) | 1.28 (1.08–1.51) |
Asian | 123 | 1.47 | 0.71 (0.59–0.86) | 0.80 (0.56–1.14) |
European and other | 1,314 | 2.68 | Referent | 0.95 (0.86–1.10) |
Socioeconomic deprivation level¶ | ||||
1–2 | 222 | 1.60 | Referent | 0.79 (0.60–1.02) |
3–4 | 324 | 2.34 | 1.42 (1.20–1.68) | 0.85 (0.68–1.05) |
5–6 | 441 | 3.05 | 1.76 (1.49–2.06) | 1.07 (0.89–1.29) |
7–8 | 642 | 4.15 | 2.19 (1.88–2.55) | 1.12 (0.56–1.31) |
9–10 | 1,274 | 7.58 | 3.10 (2.67–3.60) | 1.21 (1.09–1.36) |
District health board# | ||||
Northland | 150 | 5.57 | 1.32 (1.03–1.69) | 0.94 (0.68–1.29) |
Counties Manukau, South Auckland | 478 | 5.70 | 1.44 (1.16–1.78) | 1.05 (0.88–1.26) |
Tairawhiti, Gisborne | 90 | 11.13 | 2.38 (1.79–3.16) | 1.73 (1.12–2.66) |
Hutt Valley, Wellington | 107 | 4.33 | 1.51 (1.15–1.97) | 1.38 (0.94–2.03) |
Southern, South Island | 110 | 2.14 | Referent | 1.11 (0.76–1.61) |
Total | 2,903 | 3.90 | 1.09 (1.01–1.17) |
Table 2. Rheumatic heart disease initial hospitalization rates and adjusted rate ratios for patients <70 years of age according to key sociodemographic characteristics, New Zealand, 2000–2018*
*An additional 2,212 (43.2% of total) cases occurred among persons ≥70 years of age during 2000–2018. aRR, adjusted rate ratio; DHB, district health board; RHD, rheumatic heart disease; RR, rate ratio.
†RR adjusted for sex, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation.
‡RR adjusted for age, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation.
§RR adjusted for age, sex, and socioeconomic deprivation.
¶RR adjusted for age, sex, and ethnicity.
#RR adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation; 4 highest incidence DHBs, and the 1 lowest DHB shown. A full list of DHBs is provided in Appendix Table 1).
Category | No. deaths | Crude rate of RHD deaths/100,000 population | aRR (95% CI) | RR during 2010–2016 vs. 2000–2009 (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age, y† | ||||
<40 | 126 | 0.31 | Referent | 0.66 (0.45–0.96) |
40–49 | 163 | 1.56 | 7.27 (5.76–9.18) | 0.68 (0.49–0.94) |
50–59 | 249 | 2.80 | 15.09 (12.17–18.72) | 0.53 (0.41–0.70) |
60–69 | 352 | 5.48 | 34.15 (27.80–41.95) | 0.56 (0.45–0.69) |
Sex‡ | ||||
M | 394 | 1.21 | 0.88 (0.75–0.98) | 0.56 (0.45–0.69) |
F | 496 | 1.49 | Referent | 0.61 (0.51–0.73) |
Ethnicity§ | ||||
Māori | 467 | 4.34 | 12.27 (10.32–14.58) | 0.53 (0.44–0.65) |
Pacific Islander | 190 | 4.37 | 11.16 (9.05–13.76) | 0.77 (0.57–1.02) |
Asian | 20 | 0.29 | 0.8 7(0.55–1.38) | 0.09 (0.02–0.40) |
European and other | 213 | 0.49 | Referent | 0.63 (0.47–0.84) |
Socioeconomic deprivation level¶ | ||||
1–2 | 48 | 0.39 | Referent | 0.23 (0.11–0.46) |
3–4 | 67 | 0.55 | 1.23 (0.85–1.78) | 0.51 (0.30–0.84) |
5–6 | 113 | 0.88 | 1.72 (1.23–2.42) | 1.01 (0.70–1.46) |
7–8 | 188 | 1.37 | 2.17 (1.57–2.99) | 0.54 (0.40–0.73) |
9–10 | 474 | 3.18 | 3.18 (2.34–4.33) | 0.58 (0.48–0.71) |
District health board# | ||||
Northland | 52 | 2.18 | 1.13 (0.76–1.69) | 0.48 (0.24–0.94) |
Counties Manukau, South Auckland | 168 | 2.28 | 1.65 (1.21–2.24) | 0.75 (0.53–1.05) |
Tairawhiti, Gisborne | 33 | 4.56 | 2.22 (1.42–3.48) | 0.35 (0.15–0.83) |
South Island, 5 DHBs | 81 | 0.53 | Referent | 0.50 (0.31–0.82) |
Total | 890 | 1.35 | 0.58 (0.51–0.67) |
Table 3. Mortality rates of rheumatic heart disease and adjusted rate ratios for people <70 years of age, according to key sociodemographic characteristics, New Zealand, 2000–2016*
*An additional 1,545 (63.4% of total) deaths occurred among persons ≥70 years of age during 2000–2016. aRR, adjusted rate ratio; DHB, district health board; RHD, rheumatic heart disease; RR, rate ratio.
†RR adjusted for sex, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation.
‡RR adjusted for age, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation.
§RR adjusted for age, sex, and socioeconomic deprivation.
¶RR adjusted for age, sex, and ethnicity.
#RR adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, and socioeconomic deprivation; 3 highest incidence DHBs and the DHB with lowest incidence shown. A full list of DHBs is provided in Appendix Table 1.
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We describe trends in acute rheumatic fever (ARF), rheumatic heart disease (RHD), and RHD deaths among population groups in New Zealand. We analyzed initial primary ARF and RHD hospitalizations during 2000–2018 and RHD mortality rates during 2000–2016. We found elevated rates of initial ARF hospitalizations for persons of Māori (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] 11.8, 95% CI 10.0–14.0) and Pacific Islander (aRR 23.6, 95% CI 19.9–27.9) ethnicity compared with persons of European/other ethnicity. We also noted higher rates of initial RHD hospitalization for Māori (aRR 3.2, 95% CI 2.9–3.5) and Pacific Islander (aRR 4.6, 95% CI 4.2–5.1) groups and RHD deaths among these groups (Māori aRR 12.3, 95% CI 10.3–14.6, and Pacific Islanders aRR 11.2, 95% CI 9.1–13.8). Rates also were higher in socioeconomically disadvantaged neighborhoods. To curb high rates of ARF and RHD, New Zealand must address increasing social and ethnic inequalities.
Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) is a preventable multisystem inflammatory disease that develops in <3% of persons with untreated group A Streptococcus (GAS) pharyngitis[1,2]. Recently, GAS skin infections have been proposed to cause ARF, either directly or in combination with GAS pharyngitis[3]. The severe sequela of ARF is rheumatic heart disease (RHD) with regurgitation from the mitral valve, aortic valve, or both. RHD is a serious condition that can lead to cardiac failure, stroke, and early death[4].
ARF and RHD remain major causes of illness and death[5]. In 2015, global prevalence of RHD was ≈34 million cases and ≈320,000 RHD-associated deaths occurred[6]. During the 20th century, improved living conditions resulted in dramatic declines in ARF[7]. The introduction of antimicrobial drugs in the 1950s and 1960s further reduced the burden of disease and ushered in an effective treatment for GAS pharyngitis[8,9]. Although now rare in high-income countries, ARF and RHD continue to affect populations in economically disadvantaged areas[10] and epidemic outbreaks occur in populations that are separated geographically[11,12].
The incidence of RHD is highest in Oceania, South Asia, and central sub-Saharan Africa[6]. However, some of the highest reported ARF rates are among indigenous and Pacific Islander populations in Australia and New Zealand[13]. The incidence rate among indigenous children in Australia in the peak age group, 5–14 years, is 245–351 cases/100,000 population[14], but in New Zealand, ARF almost exclusively affects indigenous Māori and Pacific Islander children living in socioeconomically deprived areas of the North Island[15,16]. During 2017–2018, the rate of initial ARF hospitalizations among Māori children 5–14 years of age was 25 cases/100,000 population; among Pacific Islander children, the rate was 81 cases/100,000 population[17].
Population-level burden estimates rarely are reported in international literature, partially because of challenges with diagnosing both ARF and RHD and a lack of high-quality surveillance systems for monitoring these conditions. ARF is notifiable to public health authorities in New Zealand, but RHD is not. In addition, historically there has been national undernotification of ARF cases[18]. Consequently, coded hospitalization data, which is based on the coding system of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD), 9th Revision (ICD-9) and 10th Revision (ICD-10), provides the most comprehensive base for describing ARF and RHD incidence and distribution.
We assessed trends in the incidence of ARF, the frequency of initial hospitalizations for RHD, and RHD mortality rates in New Zealand during 2000–2018. In addition, we assessed the extent to which these conditions are concentrated in specific population groups, based on age, ethnicity, sex, socioeconomic deprivation, and geographic location.