Parameter | Ixodes scapularis | Amblyomma americanum | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Relative abundance of each species | CIS = 38.32 | CAA = 61.68 | ||
Adults | Nymphs | Adults | Nymphs | |
Relative abundance of each life stage | CIS. D = 19.96 | CIS. N = 80.04 | CAA. D = 35.34 | CAA. N = 64.66 |
Infection rates per life stage | IIS. D = 39.87 | IIS. N = 23.3 | IAA. D = 11.7 | IAA. N = 9.04 |
Infection rates, weighted | IIS = 26.60 | IAA = 9.98 |
Table. Parameters used in relative risk calculations for ehrlichiosis and Lyme disease, by vector, Monmouth County, New Jersey, USA*
*Values are in percentages. Relative abundances (denoted by CX ) are derived from specimens submitted to the Monmouth County Mosquito Control Division’s tick identification and testing service during peak Lyme disease transmission season (May–August) and during a 10-year period (2006–2015). Infection rates of I. scapularis ticks with Borrelia burgdorferi (IIS ) also from passive surveillance program. Infection rates of A. americanum ticks (IAA ) encompass both Ehrlichia chaffeensis and E. ewingii (accounting for co-infection).
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The relative risk for ehrlichiosis cases compared to Lyme disease was calculated as risk = (61.68 × 9.98 × 1)/(38.32 × 26.61 × 1) = 0.604. These numbers mean that we should expect to see ehrlichiosis cases occur 0.604 times as often as Lyme disease cases.
Figure 2. Number of observed versus expected ehrlichiosis cases, Monmouth County, New Jersey, USA, 2014. Expected values calculated by using number of observed Lyme disease cases as benchmark.
In 2014, a total of 439 cases of Lyme disease were reported in Monmouth County.[22] By using the risk estimates described, we would expect there to be ≥265 cases of ehrlichiosis, >2 orders of magnitude higher than the number of cases actually observed (Figure 2).